Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 659 games through Nov 11
4%
Texas Southern
96%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between Texas Southern and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Duke's hands vs. Texas Southern's ball security
Texas Southern turns it over on 19.0% of possessions (34th percentile); Duke averages 11.0 steals (89th percentile).
Edge: Duke
Duke has the size advantage
Duke's minutes-weighted height is 2.6 inches taller than Texas Southern's.
Edge: Duke
Second chances for Duke
Duke grabs 35.4% of its misses (77th percentile); Texas Southern secures 66.9% of opponents' misses (35th percentile).
Edge: Duke
Pace clash: Texas Southern runs, Duke slows it down
Texas Southern averages 79.0 possessions per 40 minutes; Duke 73.5. Whoever sets the tempo plays its game.
Style matchup
Duke is safer at the line late
Duke shoots 71.2% on free throws; Texas Southern 64.4%.
Edge: Duke
Duke's bench scores more
Duke's reserves average 32.3 points per game; Texas Southern's 24.2.
Edge: Duke
Bars show each team's percentile among all 365 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | Texas Southern | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 22nd | 52nd |
| Rebounding | 49th | 61st |
| Ball security | 34th | 45th |
| Size & experience | 58th | 93rd |
Games between them in 2026–27, then every earlier meeting we have.
Texas Southern and Duke did not play each other this season.
No common opponents this season.