Data
Hover any dot, switch the axes, filter by conference or seed, and click through to a team. 345 Division I teams from the 2026–27 season. Seeds are from the Bracket Hero projected field. Premium stats are further down.
Most teams have played 3 games, so shooting, rebounding and the other raw numbers will move a lot. Offensive and defensive efficiency here are the Bracket Hero ratings, which start from last season and settle as games are played.
Bracket Pass
Premium stats
Five ways to read the projected field that standard stat pages don't show: how hard each path is, who's hot, who's been lucky, who's beaten tournament teams, and who's built to pull an upset.
Most teams have played 3 games, so these numbers will move a lot. They settle by conference play.
Every list in full comes with the Bracket Pass
$10 for the season, with 300 more credits on top of the free ones. Below is the leader of each list.
Path difficulty
How strong each team's likely opponents are on the way to the Final Four, if it keeps winning: the average expected rating of its Round of 64, Round of 32, Sweet 16 and Elite Eight opponents, weighted by the model's odds of who gets there. Ranked against teams on the same seed line, since every 16 seed's path is hard.
Toughest draws for their seed
Points of opponent rating above the seed line's average path
7 more with the Bracket Pass
Kindest draws for their seed
Points of opponent rating below the seed line's average path
7 more with the Bracket Pass
Ratings are points better than an average Division I team. Each row shows the average expected opponent and the expected opponent in the Round of 32, Sweet 16 and Elite Eight.
Recent form
Points per game beyond what the season ratings expected, over each team's last 10 games. Positive means it has been playing better than its rating lately.
Playing above their rating
Appears once teams have played 5 games.
Playing below their rating
Appears once teams have played 5 games.
Close games and luck
Wins minus the wins the model expected from its pre-game odds. Teams far above zero have won more than their play earned, often by winning close games, and tend to come back to earth.
Luckiest
More wins than expected
Appears once teams have played 5 games.
Unluckiest
Fewer wins than expected
Appears once teams have played 5 games.
Résumé against the field
Record and average scoring margin against other teams in the projected field: how each team has done against tournament-level opponents.
Best against the field
7 more with the Bracket Pass
Most games against the field
The most tested teams
7 more with the Bracket Pass
Upset profile
A heuristic, not a forecast: it adds up traits that make a single game swingier (leaning on threes, turnovers, a slow pace with fewer possessions, missed free throws) and ranks the field from 0 to 100. Swingy favorites are easier to upset; swingy underdogs are more dangerous.
Upset-prone favorites
Seeds 1–5 with the swingiest profiles
5 more with the Bracket Pass
Dangerous underdogs
Seeds 10–14 with the swingiest profiles
5 more with the Bracket Pass
Every number here comes from completed games and the Bracket Hero ratings fit to them. Teams and seeds are the projected field until Selection Sunday.