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Build your bracket with real analytics for all 345 Division I teams. Fill it by the stats you trust, run it through thousands of simulated tournaments, and find the picks the rest of your pool won't have.
Selection Sunday · March 14, 6 p.m. ET
Your bracket
East region · projected fieldWhy pick Murray St? Their season so far
- Steals per game 9.7 vs. Louisville 9.580th pct.History backs it: 39% upsets with this edge, 33% without
- Average height 6′6.4″ vs. W Florida 6′4.3″87th pct.History backs it: 31% upsets with this edge, 24% without
- Three-point % 35.6% vs. Duke 30.1%67th pct.No clear history: 28% upsets with this edge, 26% without
Percentiles among all 345 Division I teams. An example, not a prediction: few brackets will have this run, so it pays the most if it hits. What predicts upsets
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Coming up
The most interesting games of the next three days, by the teams' power rankings. Model odds account for home court.
- TodayOKLOklahoma StateNo. 47A&MatTexas A&MNo. 32ModelTexas A&M 70%MarketTexas A&M -7.5
- TomorrowARIArizonaNo. 15AUBatAuburnNo. 31ModelAuburn 53%MarketNo line yet
- TomorrowOSUOhio StateNo. 49UCatUConnNo. 6ModelUConn 77%MarketNo line yet
- TomorrowUICUICNo. 55SMCatSaint Mary'sNo. 19ModelSaint Mary's 73%MarketNo line yet
- TomorrowGEOGeorgiaNo. 66UNCatNorth CarolinaNo. 29ModelNorth Carolina 71%MarketNo line yet
- Saturday, Nov 14LSULSUNo. 21GONatGonzagaNo. 8ModelGonzaga 68%MarketNo line yet
- Saturday, Nov 14NEWNew MexicoNo. 30SCUatSanta ClaraNo. 46ModelSanta Clara 59%MarketNo line yet
- Sunday, Nov 15 · neutral siteBOIBoise StateNo. 40NEBNebraskaNo. 13ModelNebraska 57%MarketNo line yet
- Sunday, Nov 15SYRSyracuseNo. 50SJUatSt. John'sNo. 18ModelSt. John's 76%MarketNo line yet
Power rankings
Efficiency ratings from 659 games through November 11: points scored and allowed per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent and home court, the method KenPom made famous. Early in the season they start from last year's ratings and shift as games are played.
| Rank | Team | Record | AP | Net | Offense | Defense | Pace |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DUKEDukeACC | 2–1 | 2 | +24.9 | 116.8 | 91.9 | 73.5 |
| 2 | ILLIllinoisBig Ten | 2–1 | 3 | +23.4 | 122.7 | 99.2 | 78.3 |
| 3 | HOUHoustonBig 12 | 3–0 | 8 | +21.3 | 114.1 | 92.8 | 70.0 |
| 4 | FLOFloridaSEC | 3–0 | 1 | +19.3 | 114.0 | 94.7 | 69.2 |
| 5 | VANVanderbiltSEC | 3–0 | 22 | +19.2 | 119.0 | 99.8 | 71.2 |
| 64places up this week | UCUConnBig East | 3–0 | 4 | +19.0 | 114.3 | 95.4 | 69.7 |
| 7 | MSUMichigan StateBig Ten | 3–0 | 5 | +18.9 | 114.9 | 96.0 | 72.8 |
| 8 | GONGonzagaPac-12 | 2–0 | 14 | +18.9 | 116.6 | 97.7 | 69.5 |
| 910places up this week | KANKansasBig 12 | 3–0 | 15 | +18.0 | 112.4 | 94.5 | 73.5 |
| 1022places up this week | UCLAUCLABig Ten | 3–0 | 9 | +17.5 | 114.4 | 96.9 | 75.5 |
| 113places up this week | VIRVirginiaACC | 4–0 | 6 | +17.4 | 116.6 | 99.2 | 72.5 |
| 129places down this week | MICMichiganBig Ten | 2–1 | 20 | +17.3 | 115.8 | 98.5 | 72.2 |
| 133places up this week | NEBNebraskaBig Ten | 3–0 | 25 | +17.1 | 112.8 | 95.7 | 71.0 |
| 1410places up this week | SLUSaint LouisA-10 | 3–0 | — | +16.9 | 115.6 | 98.7 | 75.7 |
| 154places down this week | ARIArizonaBig 12 | 2–1 | 12 | +16.3 | 113.6 | 97.3 | 73.0 |
| 166places up this week | LOULouisvilleACC | 2–0 | 10 | +16.1 | 114.0 | 97.9 | 71.3 |
| 17 | ISUIowa StateBig 12 | 2–1 | — | +16.0 | 110.3 | 94.3 | 72.5 |
| 189places up this week | SJUSt. John'sBig East | 3–0 | 13 | +15.6 | 112.6 | 96.9 | 72.3 |
| 1910places down this week | SMCSaint Mary'sWCC | 2–1 | — | +14.5 | 123.1 | 108.6 | 68.8 |
| 203places down this week | TENTennesseeSEC | 2–0 | 11 | +14.1 | 108.7 | 94.6 | 70.8 |
| 2129places up this week | LSULSUSEC | 3–0 | — | +14.0 | 113.0 | 98.9 | 76.2 |
| 224places up this week | IOWAIowaBig Ten | 2–1 | — | +14.0 | 115.0 | 101.0 | 71.2 |
| 23 | ALAAlabamaSEC | 3–0 | 18 | +14.0 | 115.2 | 101.2 | 79.2 |
| 24 | BYUBYUBig 12 | 3–0 | 23 | +13.9 | 118.5 | 104.7 | 71.7 |
| 2512places down this week | W FWest FloridaASUN | 2–1 | — | +13.7 | 107.6 | 93.9 | 78.5 |
Net is how many points better than an average Division I team over 100 possessions. Defense is points allowed, so lower is better. Arrows mark teams that moved 3 or more places since November 4.
Bubble watch
The last at-large teams in and the first ones out of the projected field. Automatic bids go to the highest-rated team in each conference.
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