Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 659 games through Nov 11
18%
St. Bonaventure
82%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between St. Bonaventure and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Second chances for Duke
Duke grabs 35.4% of its misses (77th percentile); St. Bonaventure secures 62.2% of opponents' misses (11th percentile).
Edge: Duke
Duke is safer at the line late
Duke shoots 71.2% on free throws; St. Bonaventure 56.8%.
Edge: Duke
Duke has the size advantage
Duke's minutes-weighted height is 1.8 inches taller than St. Bonaventure's.
Edge: Duke
Duke's bench scores more
Duke's reserves average 32.3 points per game; St. Bonaventure's 22.0.
Edge: Duke
Duke has more continuity
Duke's minutes go to players averaging 1.89 seasons in the program; St. Bonaventure's 1.19.
Edge: Duke
Bars show each team's percentile among all 345 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | St. Bonaventure | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 45th | 51st |
| Rebounding | 27th | 61st |
| Ball security | 78th | 46th |
| Size & experience | 44th | 94th |
Games between them in 2026–27, then every earlier meeting we have.
St. Bonaventure and Duke did not play each other this season.
No common opponents this season.