Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 659 games through Nov 11
14%
Southern Illinois
86%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between Southern Illinois and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Southern Illinois is safer at the line late
Southern Illinois shoots 80.6% on free throws; Duke 71.2%.
Edge: Southern Illinois
Duke's bench scores more
Duke's reserves average 32.3 points per game; Southern Illinois's 21.3.
Edge: Duke
Duke has the size advantage
Duke's minutes-weighted height is 1.7 inches taller than Southern Illinois's.
Edge: Duke
Bars show each team's percentile among all 365 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | Southern Illinois | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 80th | 52nd |
| Rebounding | 52nd | 61st |
| Ball security | 90th | 45th |
| Size & experience | 75th | 93rd |
Games between them in 2026–27, then every earlier meeting we have.
Southern Illinois and Duke did not play each other this season.
No common opponents this season.