Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 659 games through Nov 11
5%
South Carolina State
95%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between South Carolina State and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Second chances for South Carolina State
South Carolina State grabs 37.4% of its misses (87th percentile); Duke secures 67.7% of opponents' misses (44th percentile).
Edge: South Carolina State
Duke has the size advantage
Duke's minutes-weighted height is 2.1 inches taller than South Carolina State's.
Edge: Duke
South Carolina State's bench scores more
South Carolina State's reserves average 41.0 points per game; Duke's 32.3.
Edge: South Carolina State
Duke has more continuity
Duke's minutes go to players averaging 1.89 seasons in the program; South Carolina State's 1.35.
Edge: Duke
Bars show each team's percentile among all 365 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | South Carolina State | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 39th | 52nd |
| Rebounding | 90th | 61st |
| Ball security | 69th | 45th |
| Size & experience | 48th | 93rd |
Games between them in 2026–27, then every earlier meeting we have.
South Carolina State and Duke did not play each other this season.
Duke leads 1–0 since 2021–22.
No common opponents this season.