Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 659 games through Nov 11
19%
South Carolina
81%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between South Carolina and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Pace clash: Duke runs, South Carolina slows it down
Duke averages 73.5 possessions per 40 minutes; South Carolina 63.2. Whoever sets the tempo plays its game.
Style matchup
Duke's bench scores more
Duke's reserves average 32.3 points per game; South Carolina's 18.5.
Edge: Duke
Duke has more continuity
Duke's minutes go to players averaging 1.89 seasons in the program; South Carolina's 1.05.
Edge: Duke
Bars show each team's percentile among all 345 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | South Carolina | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 77th | 51st |
| Rebounding | 57th | 61st |
| Ball security | 70th | 46th |
| Size & experience | 51st | 94th |
Games between them in 2026–27, then every earlier meeting we have.
South Carolina and Duke did not play each other this season.
South Carolina leads 1–0 since 2016–17.
No common opponents this season.