Matchup Lab

Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.

Model win probability

Bracket Hero model

Neutral court · ratings from 659 games through Nov 11

SE Louisiana

95%

Duke

Predicted score: 60–85
Model spread: Duke −24.6
Fair moneyline: +2041 / -2041

Range of likely final margins. The solid line is the model's expected margin. Hover to read the chance of a win by any margin.

Sportsbook market

No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.

What decides it

The biggest statistical gaps between SE Louisiana and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.

Matchup Lab · Bracket Hero

Tale of the tape

Bars show each team's percentile among all 365 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.

SE LouisianaDuke

Efficiency

Efficiency margin: ——; SE Louisiana ; Duke . Even.
Offensive efficiency: ——; SE Louisiana ; Duke . Even.
Defensive efficiency: ——; SE Louisiana ; Duke . Even.
Strength of schedule: ——; SE Louisiana ; Duke . Even.
Pace: 68.773.5; SE Louisiana 28th percentile; Duke 76th percentile. Even.

Shooting

Field goal %: 38.5%48.1%; SE Louisiana 9th percentile; Duke 68th percentile. Edge Duke.
Three-point %: 32.0%30.1%; SE Louisiana 42nd percentile; Duke 29th percentile. Edge SE Louisiana.
Three-point rate: 44.4%40.3%; SE Louisiana 69th percentile; Duke 45th percentile. Edge SE Louisiana.
Free throw %: 65.0%

Possessions

Offensive rebound %: 39.2%35.4%; SE Louisiana 92nd percentile; Duke 77th percentile. Edge SE Louisiana.
Defensive rebound %: 62.0%67.7%; SE Louisiana 10th percentile; Duke 44th percentile. Edge Duke.
Turnover rate: 25.0%18.0%; SE Louisiana 3rd percentile; Duke 45th percentile. Edge Duke.
Assists per game

Defense

Opponent FG %: 49.2%36.3%; SE Louisiana 10th percentile; Duke 86th percentile. Edge Duke.
Opponent 3P %: 41.5%26.4%; SE Louisiana 5th percentile; Duke 82nd percentile. Edge Duke.
Steals per game: 4.711.0; SE Louisiana 7th percentile; Duke 89th percentile. Edge Duke.
Blocks per game: 3.7

Roster

Average height: 6′4.5″6′7.6″; SE Louisiana 14th percentile; Duke 99th percentile. Edge Duke.
Program experience: 1.10 yrs1.89 yrs; SE Louisiana 13th percentile; Duke 88th percentile. Edge Duke.
Bench points: 29.332.3; SE Louisiana 61st percentile; Duke 71st percentile. Edge Duke.

Profile

National percentile by category
Category	SE Louisiana	Duke
Shooting	25th	52nd
Rebounding	51st	61st
Ball security	3rd	45th
Size & experience	13th	93rd

National percentiles (100th is best). Hover a category to see what it averages.

Head to head

Games between them in 2026–27, then every earlier meeting we have.

SE Louisiana and Duke did not play each other this season.

Matchup Lab

Model win probability

Sportsbook market

What decides it

Model win probability

Sportsbook market

What decides it

Tale of the tape

Efficiency

Shooting

Possessions

Defense

Roster

Profile

Head to head

Common opponents