Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 659 games through Nov 11
11%
Samford
89%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between Samford and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Duke has the size advantage
Duke's minutes-weighted height is 3.3 inches taller than Samford's.
Edge: Duke
Samford is safer at the line late
Samford shoots 83.3% on free throws; Duke 71.2%.
Edge: Samford
Duke's bench scores more
Duke's reserves average 32.3 points per game; Samford's 21.5.
Edge: Duke
Bars show each team's percentile among all 365 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | Samford | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 71st | 52nd |
| Rebounding | 27th | 61st |
| Ball security | 90th | 45th |
| Size & experience | 34th | 93rd |
Games between them in 2026–27, then every earlier meeting we have.
Samford and Duke did not play each other this season.
No common opponents this season.