Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 659 games through Nov 11
5%
Saint Peter's
95%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between Saint Peter's and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Duke's hands vs. Saint Peter's's ball security
Saint Peter's turns it over on 23.0% of possessions (6th percentile); Duke averages 11.0 steals (89th percentile).
Edge: Duke
Pace clash: Duke runs, Saint Peter's slows it down
Duke averages 73.5 possessions per 40 minutes; Saint Peter's 60.4. Whoever sets the tempo plays its game.
Style matchup
Duke has the size advantage
Duke's minutes-weighted height is 3.2 inches taller than Saint Peter's's.
Edge: Duke
Duke's bench scores more
Duke's reserves average 32.3 points per game; Saint Peter's's 14.2.
Edge: Duke
Second chances for Saint Peter's
Saint Peter's grabs 37.4% of its misses (87th percentile); Duke secures 67.7% of opponents' misses (44th percentile).
Edge: Saint Peter's
Bars show each team's percentile among all 365 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | Saint Peter's | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 21st | 52nd |
| Rebounding | 87th | 61st |
| Ball security | 6th | 45th |
| Size & experience | 44th | 93rd |
Games between them in 2026–27, then every earlier meeting we have.
Saint Peter's and Duke did not play each other this season.
No common opponents this season.