Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 659 games through Nov 11
12%
Portland State
88%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between Portland State and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Duke's hands vs. Portland State's ball security
Portland State turns it over on 20.0% of possessions (24th percentile); Duke averages 11.0 steals (89th percentile).
Edge: Duke
Duke has the size advantage
Duke's minutes-weighted height is 1.9 inches taller than Portland State's.
Edge: Duke
Duke is safer at the line late
Duke shoots 71.2% on free throws; Portland State 64.4%.
Edge: Duke
Duke has more continuity
Duke's minutes go to players averaging 1.89 seasons in the program; Portland State's 1.08.
Edge: Duke
Bars show each team's percentile among all 365 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | Portland State | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 38th | 52nd |
| Rebounding | 83rd | 61st |
| Ball security | 24th | 45th |
| Size & experience | 37th | 93rd |
Games between them in 2026–27, then every earlier meeting we have.
Portland State and Duke did not play each other this season.
No common opponents this season.