Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 659 games through Nov 11
17%
Oregon State
83%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between Oregon State and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Second chances for Duke
Duke grabs 35.4% of its misses (77th percentile); Oregon State secures 62.0% of opponents' misses (10th percentile).
Edge: Duke
Oregon State is safer at the line late
Oregon State shoots 84.9% on free throws; Duke 71.2%.
Edge: Oregon State
Duke has the size advantage
Duke's minutes-weighted height is 1.7 inches taller than Oregon State's.
Edge: Duke
Oregon State's bench scores more
Oregon State's reserves average 40.7 points per game; Duke's 32.3.
Edge: Oregon State
Bars show each team's percentile among all 345 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | Oregon State | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 87th | 51st |
| Rebounding | 10th | 61st |
| Ball security | 90th | 46th |
| Size & experience | 59th | 94th |
Games between them in 2026–27, then every earlier meeting we have.
Oregon State and Duke did not play each other this season.
Duke leads 1–0 since 2022–23.
No common opponents this season.