Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 659 games through Nov 11
5%
Northwestern State
95%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between Northwestern State and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Duke's hands vs. Northwestern State's ball security
Northwestern State turns it over on 20.0% of possessions (24th percentile); Duke averages 11.0 steals (89th percentile).
Edge: Duke
Second chances for Duke
Duke grabs 35.4% of its misses (77th percentile); Northwestern State secures 63.5% of opponents' misses (17th percentile).
Edge: Duke
Duke's bench scores more
Duke's reserves average 32.3 points per game; Northwestern State's 17.0.
Edge: Duke
Duke has the size advantage
Duke's minutes-weighted height is 2.2 inches taller than Northwestern State's.
Edge: Duke
Duke has more continuity
Duke's minutes go to players averaging 1.89 seasons in the program; Northwestern State's 1.11.
Edge: Duke
Bars show each team's percentile among all 365 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | Northwestern State | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 28th | 52nd |
| Rebounding | 12th | 61st |
| Ball security | 24th | 45th |
| Size & experience | 30th | 93rd |
Games between them in 2026–27, then every earlier meeting we have.
Northwestern State and Duke did not play each other this season.
No common opponents this season.