Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 659 games through Nov 11
7%
Northeastern
93%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between Northeastern and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Duke's bench scores more
Duke's reserves average 32.3 points per game; Northeastern's 9.7.
Edge: Duke
Duke's hands vs. Northeastern's ball security
Northeastern turns it over on 19.0% of possessions (34th percentile); Duke averages 11.0 steals (89th percentile).
Edge: Duke
Northeastern is safer at the line late
Northeastern shoots 79.7% on free throws; Duke 71.2%.
Edge: Northeastern
Duke has the size advantage
Duke's minutes-weighted height is 1.4 inches taller than Northeastern's.
Edge: Duke
Bars show each team's percentile among all 345 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | Northeastern | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 57th | 51st |
| Rebounding | 39th | 61st |
| Ball security | 34th | 46th |
| Size & experience | 64th | 94th |
Games between them in 2026–27, then every earlier meeting we have.
Northeastern and Duke did not play each other this season.
No common opponents this season.