Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 659 games through Nov 11
10%
James Madison
90%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between James Madison and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Duke has the size advantage
Duke's minutes-weighted height is 2.4 inches taller than James Madison's.
Edge: Duke
Second chances for James Madison
James Madison grabs 36.2% of its misses (82nd percentile); Duke secures 67.7% of opponents' misses (44th percentile).
Edge: James Madison
Duke has more continuity
Duke's minutes go to players averaging 1.89 seasons in the program; James Madison's 1.24.
Edge: Duke
Bars show each team's percentile among all 365 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | James Madison | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 41st | 52nd |
| Rebounding | 83rd | 61st |
| Ball security | 84th | 45th |
| Size & experience | 32nd | 93rd |
Games between them in 2026–27, then every earlier meeting we have.
James Madison and Duke did not play each other this season.
Duke leads 1–0 since 2023–24.
No common opponents this season.