Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 659 games through Nov 11
8%
Indiana State
92%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between Indiana State and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Duke has the size advantage
Duke's minutes-weighted height is 2.3 inches taller than Indiana State's.
Edge: Duke
Duke's bench scores more
Duke's reserves average 32.3 points per game; Indiana State's 20.5.
Edge: Duke
Duke has more continuity
Duke's minutes go to players averaging 1.89 seasons in the program; Indiana State's 1.00.
Edge: Duke
Bars show each team's percentile among all 365 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | Indiana State | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 46th | 52nd |
| Rebounding | 52nd | 61st |
| Ball security | 84th | 45th |
| Size & experience | 23rd | 93rd |
Games between them in 2026–27, then every earlier meeting we have.
Indiana State and Duke did not play each other this season.
Duke leads 1–0 since 2025–26.
No common opponents this season.