Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 659 games through Nov 11
4%
Fairleigh Dickinson
96%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between Fairleigh Dickinson and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Duke has the size advantage
Duke's minutes-weighted height is 2.6 inches taller than Fairleigh Dickinson's.
Edge: Duke
Duke's bench scores more
Duke's reserves average 32.3 points per game; Fairleigh Dickinson's 18.0.
Edge: Duke
Second chances for Duke
Duke grabs 35.4% of its misses (77th percentile); Fairleigh Dickinson secures 67.5% of opponents' misses (42nd percentile).
Edge: Duke
Pace clash: Duke runs, Fairleigh Dickinson slows it down
Duke averages 73.5 possessions per 40 minutes; Fairleigh Dickinson 69.2. Whoever sets the tempo plays its game.
Style matchup
Bars show each team's percentile among all 365 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | Fairleigh Dickinson | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 32nd | 52nd |
| Rebounding | 44th | 61st |
| Ball security | 78th | 45th |
| Size & experience | 40th | 93rd |
Games between them in 2026–27, then every earlier meeting we have.
Fairleigh Dickinson and Duke did not play each other this season.
No common opponents this season.