Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 659 games through Nov 11
16%
Creighton
84%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between Creighton and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Second chances for Creighton
Creighton grabs 40.4% of its misses (96th percentile); Duke secures 67.7% of opponents' misses (44th percentile).
Edge: Creighton
Duke has the size advantage
Duke's minutes-weighted height is 2.2 inches taller than Creighton's.
Edge: Duke
Duke's bench scores more
Duke's reserves average 32.3 points per game; Creighton's 24.0.
Edge: Duke
Bars show each team's percentile among all 345 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | Creighton | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 49th | 51st |
| Rebounding | 96th | 61st |
| Ball security | 46th | 46th |
| Size & experience | 61st | 94th |
Games between them in 2026–27, then every earlier meeting we have.
Creighton and Duke did not play each other this season.
Duke leads 1–0 since 2012–13.
No common opponents this season.