Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 659 games through Nov 11
8%
Colgate
92%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between Colgate and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Duke's bench scores more
Duke's reserves average 32.3 points per game; Colgate's 7.0.
Edge: Duke
Duke is safer at the line late
Duke shoots 71.2% on free throws; Colgate 55.3%.
Edge: Duke
Duke has the size advantage
Duke's minutes-weighted height is 2.1 inches taller than Colgate's.
Edge: Duke
Colgate has more continuity
Colgate's minutes go to players averaging 2.74 seasons in the program; Duke's 1.89.
Edge: Colgate
Bars show each team's percentile among all 345 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | Colgate | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 19th | 51st |
| Rebounding | 74th | 61st |
| Ball security | 46th | 46th |
| Size & experience | 76th | 94th |
Games between them in 2026–27, then every earlier meeting we have.
Colgate and Duke did not play each other this season.
No common opponents this season.