Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 659 games through Nov 11
3%
Bucknell
97%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between Bucknell and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Second chances for Duke
Duke grabs 35.4% of its misses (77th percentile); Bucknell secures 57.3% of opponents' misses (2nd percentile).
Edge: Duke
Duke's hands vs. Bucknell's ball security
Bucknell turns it over on 20.0% of possessions (24th percentile); Duke averages 11.0 steals (89th percentile).
Edge: Duke
Duke has the size advantage
Duke's minutes-weighted height is 3.1 inches taller than Bucknell's.
Edge: Duke
Duke's bench scores more
Duke's reserves average 32.3 points per game; Bucknell's 15.3.
Edge: Duke
Pace clash: Duke runs, Bucknell slows it down
Duke averages 73.5 possessions per 40 minutes; Bucknell 68.5. Whoever sets the tempo plays its game.
Style matchup
Bars show each team's percentile among all 345 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | Bucknell | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 49th | 51st |
| Rebounding | 24th | 61st |
| Ball security | 24th | 46th |
| Size & experience | 47th | 94th |
Games between them in 2026–27, then every earlier meeting we have.
Bucknell and Duke did not play each other this season.
Duke leads 1–0 since 2023–24.
No common opponents this season.