Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 592 games through Nov 10
40%
Vanderbilt
60%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between Vanderbilt and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Pace clash: Duke runs, Vanderbilt slows it down
Duke averages 73.5 possessions per 40 minutes; Vanderbilt 45.7. Whoever sets the tempo plays its game.
Style matchup
Duke's hands vs. Vanderbilt's ball security
Vanderbilt turns it over on 22.0% of possessions (11th percentile); Duke averages 11.0 steals (87th percentile).
Edge: Duke
Duke has the size advantage
Duke's minutes-weighted height is 1.6 inches taller than Vanderbilt's.
Edge: Duke
Bars show each team's percentile among all 365 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | Vanderbilt | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 86th | 52nd |
| Rebounding | 51st | 59th |
| Ball security | 11th | 45th |
| Size & experience | 63rd | 93rd |
Games between them in 2026–27.
Vanderbilt and Duke did not play each other this season.
No common opponents this season.