Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 592 games through Nov 10
23%
Santa Clara
77%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between Santa Clara and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Santa Clara is safer at the line late
Santa Clara shoots 80.6% on free throws; Duke 71.2%.
Edge: Santa Clara
Pace clash: Santa Clara runs, Duke slows it down
Santa Clara averages 78.7 possessions per 40 minutes; Duke 73.5. Whoever sets the tempo plays its game.
Style matchup
Duke has the size advantage
Duke's minutes-weighted height is 1.6 inches taller than Santa Clara's.
Edge: Duke
Bars show each team's percentile among all 365 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | Santa Clara | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 71st | 52nd |
| Rebounding | 34th | 59th |
| Ball security | 69th | 45th |
| Size & experience | 84th | 93rd |
Games between them in 2026–27.
Santa Clara and Duke did not play each other this season.
No common opponents this season.