Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 592 games through Nov 10
23%
Ohio State
77%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between Ohio State and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Ohio State is safer at the line late
Ohio State shoots 81.8% on free throws; Duke 71.2%.
Edge: Ohio State
Duke's bench scores more
Duke's reserves average 32.3 points per game; Ohio State's 20.0.
Edge: Duke
Duke has the size advantage
Duke's minutes-weighted height is 1.4 inches taller than Ohio State's.
Edge: Duke
Bars show each team's percentile among all 365 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | Ohio State | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 58th | 52nd |
| Rebounding | 53rd | 59th |
| Ball security | 69th | 45th |
| Size & experience | 74th | 93rd |
Games between them in 2026–27.
Ohio State and Duke did not play each other this season.
No common opponents this season.