Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 592 games through Nov 10
18%
Northern Iowa
82%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between Northern Iowa and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Second chances for Duke
Duke grabs 35.4% of its misses (75th percentile); Northern Iowa secures 66.4% of opponents' misses (31st percentile).
Edge: Duke
Duke has the size advantage
Duke's minutes-weighted height is 2.2 inches taller than Northern Iowa's.
Edge: Duke
Bars show each team's percentile among all 365 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | Northern Iowa | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 72nd | 52nd |
| Rebounding | 32nd | 59th |
| Ball security | 82nd | 45th |
| Size & experience | 51st | 93rd |
Games between them in 2026–27.
Northern Iowa and Duke did not play each other this season.
No common opponents this season.