Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 592 games through Nov 10
21%
Minnesota
79%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between Minnesota and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Duke's bench scores more
Duke's reserves average 32.3 points per game; Minnesota's 15.7.
Edge: Duke
Pace clash: Duke runs, Minnesota slows it down
Duke averages 73.5 possessions per 40 minutes; Minnesota 65.8. Whoever sets the tempo plays its game.
Style matchup
Duke has the size advantage
Duke's minutes-weighted height is 1.7 inches taller than Minnesota's.
Edge: Duke
Bars show each team's percentile among all 365 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | Minnesota | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 55th | 52nd |
| Rebounding | 45th | 59th |
| Ball security | 35th | 45th |
| Size & experience | 80th | 93rd |
Games between them in 2026–27.
Minnesota and Duke did not play each other this season.
No common opponents this season.