Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 592 games through Nov 10
25%
Indiana
75%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between Indiana and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Second chances for Indiana
Indiana grabs 39.8% of its misses (94th percentile); Duke secures 67.7% of opponents' misses (43rd percentile).
Edge: Indiana
Pace clash: Duke runs, Indiana slows it down
Duke averages 73.5 possessions per 40 minutes; Indiana 68.8. Whoever sets the tempo plays its game.
Style matchup
Duke has more continuity
Duke's minutes go to players averaging 1.89 seasons in the program; Indiana's 1.17.
Edge: Duke
Bars show each team's percentile among all 365 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | Indiana | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 72nd | 52nd |
| Rebounding | 91st | 59th |
| Ball security | 69th | 45th |
| Size & experience | 58th | 93rd |
Games between them in 2026–27.
Indiana and Duke did not play each other this season.
No common opponents this season.