Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 592 games through Nov 10
9%
Howard
91%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between Howard and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Second chances for Duke
Duke grabs 35.4% of its misses (75th percentile); Howard secures 60.0% of opponents' misses (7th percentile).
Edge: Duke
Duke's hands vs. Howard's ball security
Howard turns it over on 20.0% of possessions (26th percentile); Duke averages 11.0 steals (87th percentile).
Edge: Duke
Second chances for Howard
Howard grabs 39.3% of its misses (93rd percentile); Duke secures 67.7% of opponents' misses (43rd percentile).
Edge: Howard
Duke is safer at the line late
Duke shoots 71.2% on free throws; Howard 61.8%.
Edge: Duke
Duke has the size advantage
Duke's minutes-weighted height is 2.0 inches taller than Howard's.
Edge: Duke
Duke's bench scores more
Duke's reserves average 32.3 points per game; Howard's 23.0.
Edge: Duke
Bars show each team's percentile among all 365 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | Howard | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 27th | 52nd |
| Rebounding | 50th | 59th |
| Ball security | 26th | 45th |
| Size & experience | 62nd | 93rd |
Games between them in 2026–27.
Howard and Duke did not play each other this season.
No common opponents this season.