Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 592 games through Nov 10
41%
Florida
59%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between Florida and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Duke's bench scores more
Duke's reserves average 32.3 points per game; Florida's 23.0.
Edge: Duke
Pace clash: Duke runs, Florida slows it down
Duke averages 73.5 possessions per 40 minutes; Florida 69.2. Whoever sets the tempo plays its game.
Style matchup
Florida has more continuity
Florida's minutes go to players averaging 2.70 seasons in the program; Duke's 1.89.
Edge: Florida
Bars show each team's percentile among all 365 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | Florida | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 53rd | 52nd |
| Rebounding | 50th | 59th |
| Ball security | 35th | 45th |
| Size & experience | 96th | 93rd |
Games between them in 2026–27.
Florida and Duke did not play each other this season.
No common opponents this season.