Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 592 games through Nov 10
18%
Davidson
82%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between Davidson and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Duke's bench scores more
Duke's reserves average 32.3 points per game; Davidson's 9.3.
Edge: Duke
Duke is safer at the line late
Duke shoots 71.2% on free throws; Davidson 57.1%.
Edge: Duke
Pace clash: Duke runs, Davidson slows it down
Duke averages 73.5 possessions per 40 minutes; Davidson 66.5. Whoever sets the tempo plays its game.
Style matchup
Second chances for Duke
Duke grabs 35.4% of its misses (75th percentile); Davidson secures 67.3% of opponents' misses (40th percentile).
Edge: Duke
Duke has the size advantage
Duke's minutes-weighted height is 1.9 inches taller than Davidson's.
Edge: Duke
Bars show each team's percentile among all 365 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | Davidson | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 49th | 52nd |
| Rebounding | 33rd | 59th |
| Ball security | 69th | 45th |
| Size & experience | 67th | 93rd |
Games between them in 2026–27.
Davidson and Duke did not play each other this season.
No common opponents this season.