Matchup Lab
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Any two Division I teams, side by side: who the model favors, by how much, and which numbers decide it.
Neutral court · ratings from 592 games through Nov 10
26%
Boise State
74%
Duke
No sportsbook line exists for this pairing: books only post lines for games on the schedule, and these teams didn't meet in 2026–27. The fair moneyline above comes from the model, not a book.
The biggest statistical gaps between Boise State and Duke, quoted from their 2026–27 numbers. Opponent-adjusted efficiency and schedule strength stay hidden until both teams have played 8 games; until then they swing too much to mean anything.
Pace clash: Boise State runs, Duke slows it down
Boise State averages 84.5 possessions per 40 minutes; Duke 73.5. Whoever sets the tempo plays its game.
Style matchup
Duke is safer at the line late
Duke shoots 71.2% on free throws; Boise State 63.0%.
Edge: Duke
Duke has the size advantage
Duke's minutes-weighted height is 2.0 inches taller than Boise State's.
Edge: Duke
Boise State's bench scores more
Boise State's reserves average 43.0 points per game; Duke's 32.3.
Edge: Boise State
Bars show each team's percentile among all 365 Division I teams; the longer bar is better, including on defense. Bold marks the edge.
| Category | Boise State | Duke |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting | 67th | 52nd |
| Rebounding | 80th | 59th |
| Ball security | 94th | 45th |
| Size & experience | 73rd | 93rd |
Games between them in 2026–27.
Boise State and Duke did not play each other this season.
No common opponents this season.